CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 5, 2019. 10-year note: Currently net short 233.4k, down 619. The rally in the 10-year Treasury yield (2.63 percent) from July 2016, when rates bottomed at 1.34 percent, ended last October … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 26, 2019. Beginning December 21, the CFTC was not able to publish reports on time due to the partial shutdown of the federal government.  After the government reopened, it published one … Continued

After 9 Weeks Of Rally, Signs Of Fatigue Last Week On Russell 2000/IWM

US stocks are on fire.  The Russell 2000/IWM was essentially unchanged last week, with the index down 0.03 percent and the ETF up 0.06 percent.  This followed nine weeks of persistent rally, during which they jumped 34 percent.  Conditions are … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 19, 2019. Beginning December 21, the CFTC was not able to publish reports on time due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, which has now reopened.  The CFTC expects … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 12, 2019. Beginning December 21, the CFTC was not able to publish reports on time due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, which has now reopened.  The CFTC expects … Continued

Fed Would Like Animal Spirits Unleashed – Would Investors/Businesses Oblige?

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

The sharp decline in US stocks last October-December forced the Fed to do a 360 as relates to its campaign to tighten monetary policy.  The dovish shift apparently wants to unleash animal spirits.  Investors have obliged – thus far.  Will … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 5, 2019. Beginning December 21, the CFTC was not able to publish reports on time due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, which has now reopened.  The CFTC expects … Continued

Gold Right Under Major Resistance – Bulls Deserve Benefit Of Doubt Medium- To Long-Term

With higher lows since the December 2015 trough, gold finds itself right underneath major resistance.  A breakout would speak volumes about the global economy and how major central banks would react in response.  Near-term notwithstanding, gold bugs deserve the benefit … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 29, 2019. Beginning December 21, the CFTC was not able to publish reports on time due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, which has now reopened.  The CFTC expects … Continued

Depending On If Bulls Or Bears Win Out At 2800 On S&P 500 Can Be Telling

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

After the October-December rout, US stocks rallied big in January and February-to-date.  Several data points such as consumer and investor sentiment followed suit, but their rise has been muted.  For longs, this could mean there is room for more strength, … Continued