Gold Breaks Out Of September 2011 Trendline

Just when one thought the North Korean crisis had died down, Kim Jong-un fires another missile.  Did gold anticipate this?  On Monday, the metal scored what could turn out to be an important breakout. To be fair, gold reached a … Continued

Near Term, Potential Crude Headwind Set To Lock Horns With Earnings Tailwind

Building on the crude theme a week ago, spot West Texas Intermediate crude did indeed break out of a declining trend line drawn from May 2015 (Chart 1).  It rallied 3.3 percent for the week.  For the last eight sessions, … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 16, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: One more prominent central banker this week seemed to throw his hands up in the air. John Williams, San Francisco Fed president, in … Continued

XLE’s Path Of Least Resistance Down — At Least Near Term

Since spot West Texas Intermediate crude bottomed intra-day at $26.05/barrel on February 11th and began to rally, resistance points have fallen one after another.  First went $34-$35, then $40, followed by $42-$43 and then $47-$48 (Chart 1), rallying past both … Continued