SPY Weekly Naked Call — Willing To Go Short Near Resistance

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During the September 15-30 reporting period, short interest on SPY, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF, dropped 15 percent period-over-period (Chart 1).  This was interesting because the ETF shed 2.9 percent during the period, having just tested the August 25th closing … Continued

Weekly Naked Call On IWM — Willing To Go Short Near Resistance

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Traders – the good ones – must be having a field day.  Stocks are swinging wildly. IWM, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF, fell 11 percent during August 17-24, then rallied nearly 10 percent by September 17, fell again – nearly … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of October 6, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Since the September 16-17 FOMC meeting, barring comments from hawks like John Williams, president of the San Francisco Fed, and Dennis Lockhart, president … Continued

Covered Call On IWM After Bloody Week

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After last week’s bloodbath in stocks, Friday brought a small consolation for small-cap investors.  Maybe. During the week, IWM, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF, lost major support – which is three percent away.  The 118-119 support goes back to March last … Continued

COT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 4, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell told CNBC on Wednesday that he has not made up his mind yet on whether interest rates should … Continued

COT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of July 28, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The following from the FOMC statement drew a lot of attention: “The Committee anticipates that it will be appropriate to raise the target … Continued

Weekly Naked Call Write On SPY, Which Looks Tired Near-Term

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When VIX (12.22), the S&P 500 Volatility Index, spiked past 20 nine sessions ago, there was a lot of chatter as to if this time the breakout was real.  It was not.  In the subsequent eight sessions since that peak, … Continued

Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of June 23, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Yields pushed up nearly 21 basis points for the week.  Sales of both new and existing homes did well in May (even though … Continued

Using Options To Play ITB’s Inability To Cash In On Week’s Good Housing Data

Over the past couple of days, U.S. housing produced two good reports for the month of May. Monday, existing home sales were published, coming in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.35 million units – up 5.1 percent month-over-month … Continued