CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 22, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: This could not get any funnier. A week after the FOMC statement, and later Janet Yellen, Fed chair, shifted message from hawkish to … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 15, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Major central banks are in a race as to who can ‘shock and awe’ the markets the most. On January 29th, Haruhiko Kuroda, … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 8, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The FOMC meets next week, and it is a given.  They will stand pat on interest rate, but the dot plot likely sees … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 1, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Unbelievable!  The Japanese government is getting paid to borrow money for a decade.  For the first time ever, Japan sells 10-year bonds at … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of February 23, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Negative interest rates have suddenly become the topic du jour.  Last month, Japan waded into negative interest rate policy (NIRP).  This was totally … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of February 16, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Global GDP will only expand at three percent this year.  Says the OECD – the latest body to cut growth forecast this year.  … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of February 9, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: On June 5, 2014, the ECB cut the deposit rate for the euro zone’s commercial banks to minus 0.1 percent from zero.  It … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of February 2, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: There you go!  Again. Less than three months after instituting the first rate hike in nine years, Fed officials are behaving as if … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of January 26, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Two important developments took place this week in central banking. First, the Fed.  This week’s FOMC meeting was a non-event.  No interest-rate decision … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of January 19, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The International Monetary Fund lowers – again – its outlook for global economic growth this year.  Warning of bumpier rides, especially in the … Continued