In/Leading Up To Seasonally Favorable Period, Greed Takes Over

Major US equity indices continue to attract bids and are trading at fresh highs.  Greed rules, with several metrics at nosebleed levels.  In a seasonally favorable period, crazy can get crazier – at least that is what bulls hope.  How … Continued

Fear Giving Way To Greed – Rather Quickly

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The S&P 500 rallied strongly in the past month.  Investors Intelligence bulls expanded eight percentage points in the last three weeks.  In the options market, investors are taking off protection they bought earlier.  Greed has replaced fear.  Unwinding is the … Continued

Nasdaq 100 1.1% From July Peak, New High Potentially Squeezes Shorts

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

With spring in their step, tech bulls Tuesday rallied the Nasdaq 100 to trend-line resistance from the all-time high set in July.  A new high has the potential to squeeze shorts.  Nasdaq short interest is at a four-year high.  There … Continued

Bulls Have Momentum, Hope To Cash In On Lowered 3Q19 Earnings Estimates

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Major US equity indices are within striking distance of July highs.  Sentiment took a small hit in recent weeks and has room to rise.  How markets react to lowered 3Q19 earnings estimates will decide if bulls will be able to … Continued

Both Bulls And Bears Put Foot Down Last Week, This Week Crucial

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Arguably, both bulls and bears won last week.  Bears began the week with a big growl.  Monday, the S&P 500 large cap index dropped three percent and the Nasdaq 100 3.6 percent.  Intraday, in fact, there were respectively down 3.7 … Continued

After Last Week’s Drop, Relief Possible, But Downside Risks Remain

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Stocks took it on the chin last week.  Friday, major US equity indices all tested major averages – successfully.  A relief is possible near term.  Medium term, though, more pain probably lies ahead. Last Wednesday, the day the Fed lowered … Continued

Breakout In Small-Caps Can Drive Several Metrics Into Dangerously Extended Territory

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Large-caps keep making new highs.  Should small-caps, which currently sit at crucial juncture, manage to break out, risk-on sentiment can get a tailwind, driving several indicators – already extended – to dangerously extended territory. US equity indices keep making new … Continued

Bulls Pulling In Horns In Recent Weeks, But Sentiment Nowhere Near Dec lows

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Since early May, stocks have come under pressure.  Investors sentiment similarly is on the back foot.  But it will be a while before bullish sentiment reaches a washout low. US stocks came under pressure as soon as May began.  From … Continued

Opportunity For Small-Cap Bulls To Forge Crucial Breakout – Can They Deliver?

posted in: Uncategorized | 0

The Russell 2000 closed Friday right at, or slightly past, crucial resistance.  If bulls succeed in decisively take out this ceiling, risk-on sentiment can rise.  Failure to do so can lead longs, who are sitting on handsome gains, to lock … Continued