As Banks Get Ready To Report 3Q, KBE At Crucial Juncture; Breakout Can Set Off Short Squeeze, Short Interest At Nearly 3-Year High

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Financials will start reporting 3Q results pre-open tomorrow. From May’s low, KBE has rallied into potentially crucial resistance. A breakout can trigger short squeeze. KBE short interest just shot up. The September-quarter earnings season is upon us. Customarily, financials will … Continued

10-Year T-Yield Retreats From Dual Resistance, Bond Bears, Sitting Smug On Tons Of Shorts, Face Squeeze Risks

posted in: Credit, Derivatives, Economy, Technicals | 0

The 10-year yield retreated last month from a potentially crucial spot. The supply-demand dynamics are in favor of bond bears, but this is also a well-known fact, hence may already be in the price. They at the same time are … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of August 22, 2023. 10-year note: Currently net short 694.9k, down 52k. It was a yawner to say the least – Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s Friday speech at the annual Jackson Hole … Continued

S&P 500 Declines 5.9% From July High Before Bids Show Up Last Fri At 4320s Breakout Retest – Relief Rally Ahead

posted in: Credit, Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

From its July 27 high through last Friday’s low, the S&P 500 quickly shed 5.9 percent. A relief rally looks imminent as equity bulls are not in a mood to let go breakout retest at 4320s. Not now anyway. Mid-to … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Aug 8, 2023. 10-year note: Currently net short 691.7k, up 46.5k. Minutes for the July 25-26 meeting are due out Wednesday. The fed funds rate was raised by 25 basis points in … Continued

S&P 500 Yearning Channel Breakout Amidst Overbought Condition, Even As Potential Squeeze Fuel Largely Used Up

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The S&P 500 is attempting to break out of a rising channel at a time when metric after metric is yelling overbought. Concurrently, the potential for short squeeze is less and less. On the S&P 500, equity bulls notched up … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 23, 2023. 10-year note: Currently net short 771.6k, up 79.2k. It took them a while, but futures traders have at long last stopped wasting money expecting an improbable outcome. Until last … Continued

KRE Shorts, Having Aggressively Built Position, Probably Expect ETF To Complete Head-And-Shoulders Technical Pattern

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Post-SVB collapse, community and regional banks have come under shorts’ attack. Bruised KRE, having sliced through the neckline of a head-and-shoulders formation last month, has more to go on the downside should the pattern complete. The number of commercial banks … Continued

Equity Bulls Stare At Squeeze Opportunity, But Odds Of Success Low Right Here And Now

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Non-commercial futures traders are heavily on the short side. They can get forced to cover or get squeezed if equity longs had their way. It is not going to be easy for the latter. Having already spent a nice bit … Continued