CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 28, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 49.4k, up 15.3k. In the week ended February 11th, non-commercials held 398,919 net shorts in 10-year note futures.  On the 12th that month, the … Continued

As Top Five Get Ready To Report This Week, Cap-Weighted Indices At Crucial Juncture

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The top five stocks report this week.  They have rallied massively since March lows.  Investor reaction to their earnings will determine if major cap-weighted indices continue their five-week upward momentum or hit the wall. This week, the big five report.  … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 21, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 34.1k, down 36.7k. The FOMC meets next week.  A two-day meeting begins Tuesday.  This comes after March’s hectic schedule which included two unscheduled meetings.  … Continued

SMH Sits At Crucial Juncture – INTC Results With Nearly 11% Weight Can Decide Fate

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Intel (INTC) reports later today.  This is coming at a crucial time as far as where SMH (VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF) is situated. Texas Instruments’ (TXN) results were received favorably Wednesday, with the stock up 4.8 percent.  It accounts for … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 14, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 70.8k, up 9.8k. The Fed is on a mission to provide a backstop to a whole host of assets.  Here is its report card … Continued

NYSE, Nasdaq Short Interest Rises To Multi-Year Highs – Bulls Put Foot Down At/Near Crucial Support

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

NYSE and Nasdaq short interest jumped mid-March, to multi-year highs.  Bears could not have ridden the latest crash in stocks any better.  At the same time, bulls this week defended crucial support on both the S&P 500 and Russell 2000, … Continued

Amidst Last Week’s Bloodbath, Bulls Defend Crucial Support On Major US Equity Indices Fri

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Last week, all major US equity indices lost north of 10 percent and were down a lot more at session lows Friday.  If there is any consolation in this, amidst the carnage, bulls stepped up to defend important support.  Some … Continued

Nasdaq Short Interest Rises To 4-Plus-Year High; Shorts Unwillingly May Be Helping Longs

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Mid-January, Nasdaq short interest rose to a four-plus-year high.  In 14 months, the index rallied north of 52 percent.  Shorts find this, among others, a compelling reason to build positions.  Ironically, they may also end up helping longs defend support … Continued

Investor Optimism Giddy Going Into 4Q19 Earnings Season

Elevated multiples have not bothered equity bulls.  In recent months, the Fed too has come to their aid.  Investor optimism is dangerously elevated going into the 4Q19 earnings season. The 4Q19 earnings season kicks off this week.  Banks and brokers … Continued