Shine Is Back On Gold – Breakout Retest Will Further Strengthen Gold Bugs’ Hands

Gold just broke out of a massive base, suggesting much higher prices in the future.  At the same time, its current pace of gains has a parabolic touch to it.  A pullback to successfully retest the breakout will greatly strengthen … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 28, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net long 73.2k, up 44.1k. The 10-year treasury yield lost five basis points this week to 0.54 percent.  Five-month support at 0.57 percent has been breached.  … Continued

4 Of Top 5 US Stocks Set To Report This Week, July Is Shaping Up As Potentially Bearish Shooting Star On Nasdaq 100

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Tech stocks rallied massively in the past four months, with the leaders outpacing the soldiers by a wide margin.  Last week, post-earnings reaction to several tech stocks including MSFT indicated a ‘sell the news’ phenomenon.  This week, four of the … Continued

After Big Rally, Value-Conscious Investors In Particular Likely Get Tempted To Lock In Gains

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Last Thursday’s sizable drop in major US equity indices was sudden.  Several metrics were so deep into overbought territory the decline probably did not come as a surprise to many.  The magnitude of it was.  Indices have rallied in the … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 12, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 151.5k, up 9.2k. On Wednesday, Jerome Powell, Fed chair, provided a gloomy view of the economy, saying the nation was experiencing an economic hit … Continued

As Top Five Get Ready To Report This Week, Cap-Weighted Indices At Crucial Juncture

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The top five stocks report this week.  They have rallied massively since March lows.  Investor reaction to their earnings will determine if major cap-weighted indices continue their five-week upward momentum or hit the wall. This week, the big five report.  … Continued

SMH Sits At Crucial Juncture – INTC Results With Nearly 11% Weight Can Decide Fate

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Intel (INTC) reports later today.  This is coming at a crucial time as far as where SMH (VanEck Vectors Semiconductor ETF) is situated. Texas Instruments’ (TXN) results were received favorably Wednesday, with the stock up 4.8 percent.  It accounts for … Continued