Amidst continued selling of rally attempts, bounce probably due

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Bounces are normal within established downtrends 2015 starts out lousy; selling/shorting rallies ka-ching so far this year Should Draghi disappoint next week and U.S. stocks get sold, weakness probably gets bought For ardent believers of “as goes January, so goes … Continued

Momentum is breaking down, bulls better step up to the plate

posted in: Credit, Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Rather quick deterioration in momentum in U.S. stocks From sentiment to Greece to $, worrywarts have plenty of things to worry about Next couple of days will be crucial for bulls to step in and try not to let things … Continued

Bulls retake baton, as RUT eyes golden cross

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

After impressive two-day advance, Russell 2000 on verge of bullish golden cross Potential unwinding of VIX surge of early this week to act as tailwind for stocks In the end, rally nothing but gift for patient bears to short from … Continued

VIX spike-buy signal in the making near-term?

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Sellers take advantage of early-morning strength to sell more stocks Amidst this, transports, high-yields draw buyers; panic noticed in VIX:VXV action Trade could be developing, but given developments in energy space, sustained rally not probable Another ugly day!  Could have … Continued

Options market is signaling pressure continues for stocks at least NT

posted in: Derivatives, Equities | 0

Bulls squander opportunity by failing to defend Tuesday’s lows on S&P 500 and Dow Put-to-call ratios just turning up, and have ways to go before they get overbought VIX surges 57% in three sessions; investors seek to protect 2014 paper … Continued

Offensives’ performance last wk trend change or passing Dec phenomenon?

Inability of offensives to take the lead has been a thorn in the side of rally since Oct 15th low Outperformance last week of XLY vs. XLP and HYG vs. LQD sign of trend change? Duel on between seasonally favorable … Continued

VIX says sky is clear, SKEW says institutions getting ready for clouds

posted in: Derivatives, Equities | 0

VIX:VXV itching to move higher, which could put stocks under pressure VIX suggests calm, but SKEW points to institutions buying tail-risk protection Put-to-call ratios have had extreme readings past several sessions on both CBOE, ISE The S&P 500 Large Cap … Continued

Non commercials net long VIX futures first time in three years — what implications?

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Spot VIX has had topsy-turvy ride this month First time in three years, hedge funds went net long VIX futures last week On three other occasions past five years, this preceded lower VIX in outer weeks/months The VIX has done … Continued