CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of July 26, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The Fed stopped short of signaling a rate hike near term.  That said, the statement also said “near-term risks to the economic outlook … Continued

FOMC Meeting To Throw Monkey Wrench Into Dollar/S&P 500 Rally N/T?

As of last Thursday (July 21st), as per S&P Dow Jones Indices, 123 of S&P 500 companies reported their 2Q16 results, 81 of them beat on an operating basis, 23 missed and 19 met consensus estimates.  On a reported basis, … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of July 19, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: If you repeat something often enough, it becomes the truth.  So the saying goes. Why bring this up?  There is a sudden uptick … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of July 12, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: TLT, the iShares 20+ year treasury bond ETF, was punished for a 3.6-percent drop this week.  This followed a parabolic rally, particularly after … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of July 5, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: One can make a cogent argument that U.S. sovereign bonds are in a blow-off phase.  Since late May through the Friday high, TLT, … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of June 28, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: On Friday last week and Monday this week, the S&P 500 index lost 5.3 percent, the 10-year Treasury yield lost 29 basis points … Continued

Bulls Put Foot Down Near Major Support At 1990 On S&P 500

Equity bulls put the foot down where they could possibly have.  Support at 1990 on the S&P 500 large cap index was defended on Monday (Chart 1).  This followed a post-Brexit 5.3-percent dive in just a couple of sessions.  Using … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of June 14, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: In Godfather III, Michael Corleone famously says: “Just when I thought I was out, they pull me back in.” Given the circumstances, this … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of June 7, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The Bank of Korea on Thursday eased its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to a record low 1.25 percent.  The move … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of May 31, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: On June 14-15, the FOMC meets.  This is the year’s fourth meeting, and there will be four more left after this (July 26-27, … Continued