June Jump In U.S. Builder Sentiment Versus Recent Spike In Mortgage Rates

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

U.S. home builder sentiment in June jumps, to match post-bubble high of last September Recent spike in interest rates, if sticks, potentially shot across housing bow ITB acts tentative, but has not given up on crucial 26 support U.S. home … Continued

Loss Of October 2014 Trendline Widespread Across U.S. Indices

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Major U.S. indices have lost October 2014 trendline Other medium- to longer-term trendlines and support zones are intact Since trendline break is not in isolation, rather across indices, worth paying attention to Five weeks ago, the S&P 500 Index (2094.11) … Continued

Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of June 9, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Last week, the IMF urged the Fed to delay a rate hike until 2016.  This week, the World Bank said the same thing. … Continued

June Cash-Secured Put On XLP

From the mid-May high of $49.75 to the low this Monday of $47.46, XLP, the SPDR Consumer Staples ETF, quickly lost 4.6 percent.  In three weeks!  Monday produced a doji, right around its 200-day moving average.  By that time, daily … Continued

GLD Looks Ripe For June Cash-Secured Put

There is a trade brewing on GLD, the SPDR Gold Trust ETF. First some background. Ever since gold peaked in September 2011, the metal has lost its luster.  Back then, GLD had $77.7 billion in assets, becoming the ETF with … Continued

VIX Likely Decides Who Wins Duel Between Transports And Financials

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Bears point to action in transports to drive point home Bulls cite how financials are acting to prove why bears are wrong VIX remains pinned by 15, bullish (financials); VIX past 15, bearish (transports) Much ink has been spilled over … Continued

Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of June 2, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Yields have decisively broken out of a five-month downtrend channel.  The only question is what triggered this. To quote the Beige Book: “The … Continued

U.S. Productivity Trends Not Conducive To 2H Earnings Expectations

posted in: Economy, Equities | 0

For U.S. corporations, there was a trio of bad news in yesterday’s revised productivity numbers for the first quarter, and this potentially has earnings repercussions. U.S. non-farm business output per hour year-over-year was revised lower from growth of 0.6 percent … Continued