20-percent-plus move in CSCO past six months prices in fair amount of optimism, stock vulnerable at least near-term

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Unlike a consistent Steady-Eddie CSCO of the past, the company’s quarterly results of late have been a hit-and-miss.  In the U.S., business capex is lackluster but steady.  In November last year, CSCO spooked investors with a downbeat outlook.  In February … Continued

Large speculators in e-mini S&P futures have for several weeks been accumulating shorts and cutting longs

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

There are some interesting things happening in e-mini S&P 500 futures.  First, non-commercials are now net short 121k contracts, nearly double from two weeks ago.  In the intervening period, the S&P 500 index has managed to inch up, having backed … Continued

Bond market is trying to tell us something

posted in: Credit, Derivatives, Economy, Technicals | 0

As 2014 began, growth expectations were very high for the U.S. economy.  In fact, every year since the recession ended mid-2009, economists’ GDP forecasts have been on the optimistic side, only to be progressively cut back as the year progresses.  … Continued