After Double-Digit 3-Week Jump, Major Equity Indices At/Near Crucial Resistance

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Post-late December bottom, major US equity indices have rallied strongly to what could turn out to be strong resistance.  Odds favor longs begin to lock in profit and/or shorts begin to get active. US stocks suffered quite a rout in … Continued

After Nice Rally Since Early Oct, GLD Approaches Decent Resistance

posted in: Commodities, Derivatives, Technicals | 0

Gold has had a nice rally since early October, and is extended on both daily and weekly charts.  It is also at dual resistance.  Near term, recent longs can get tempted to lock in profit. Spot gold ($1,288.40/ounce) looks tired.  … Continued

SPY Rallies To Just Under 260 – Sideways At Best, Downward At Worst Likely Path N/T

Since the intraday low on Boxing Day, SPY is up nearly 11 percent.  Too far, too fast?  Possibly, as the ETF is just a hair breadth away from support-turned-resistance at 260, which it lost mid-December. The Fed has a dual … Continued

Long And Short Of Short Interest

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the December 17-31 period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) Shorts got aggressive during the reporting period.  XLB (52.48) dropped to 47.05 intraday on December … Continued

Soothing Words From Powell Help Stocks – Momentum Lies With Bulls For Now

Fundamentals are still a suspect, but US stocks were treated with soothing comments from Fed chief last week.  Bulls have the ball, but bears are likely to show up at $260 on SPY. Speaking at the American Economic Association’s annual … Continued

Oversold Stocks Have Room To Rally, But Macro Worries Get In The Way

Volatility has picked up in US stocks.  This is a perfect environment for traders who are nimble enough and ready to take ones and twos, quickly locking in what markets give them. It is increasingly becoming clear why stocks began … Continued

Bulls, Bears Likely Lock Horns Around 2600 On S&P 500 Next

It is probably not coincidental that US stocks and Treasury yields peaked together early October.  The 10-year rate is right near support and has room to rally near term.  This should bode well for equity bulls who last week put … Continued

Long And Short Of Short Interest

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the December 3-14 period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) XLB (49.46) dropped to 47.05 intraday Wednesday before reversing to end the session up 4.5 … Continued

Odds Growing Sharp Reflex Rally In S&P 500 Sooner Than Later

From early October, the S&P 500 is down 18 percent.  Important support lies at 2400, or just underneath.  Several indicators are at/near panic levels.  Risk-reward odds favor unwinding of these conditions sooner than later. There is blood on the Street.  … Continued