Using Options To Play ITB’s Inability To Cash In On Week’s Good Housing Data

Over the past couple of days, U.S. housing produced two good reports for the month of May. Monday, existing home sales were published, coming in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.35 million units – up 5.1 percent month-over-month … Continued

Peer into future through futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 24, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: After what these traders heard out of the FOMC last week, they decided to step on the accelerator.  Net shorts went up 67 … Continued

Peek into future through futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 17, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: What a week!  In four out of the five sessions, the 10-year yield fell – down 18 basis points for the week.  On … Continued

Peek into future through futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 10.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: 10-year yields shed another 13 basis points in the week.  Nonetheless, note owners continued to sell near 2.04 percent.  And these traders, in agreement, … Continued

Bond vigilantes vs. Fed: Who is calling whose bluff and where it might lead

posted in: Credit, Currency, Economy, Technicals | 0

U.S. bond market and Fed lock horns as relates to trajectory of short rates Fed continues to drop hints it is ready to lift rates off near-zero levels Should that come to pass, it has potential to help vigilantes’ case … Continued

Peek into future through futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 3.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: They continued to add to net shorts, and it has so far backfired.  Post-jobs report Friday, the 10-year yield shot up 13 basis points. … Continued

Peek into future through futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of February 17 (Tuesday).  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The 10-year yield had been trending down within a channel since it peaked on December 30, 2013 at three percent.  Early this year, … Continued

A peek into future through futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of January 20 (Tuesday).  Change is week-over-week. Dollar index, gold and euro jump out the most. 10-year note: It seems non-commercials’ patience is wearing thin.  On top of that, this has not … Continued

A peek into future through futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of January 13 (Tuesday).  Change is week-over-week. Dollar index and E-mini S&P 500 are noticeable. 10-year note: Did non-commercials get squeezed a little this week?  By Tuesday, the 10-year yield had dropped … Continued