CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of October 6, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Since the September 16-17 FOMC meeting, barring comments from hawks like John Williams, president of the San Francisco Fed, and Dennis Lockhart, president … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of September 29, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Hat tip to bond vigilantes!  Heading into the FOMC meeting two weeks ago, they never bought into the message coming out of the … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of September 22, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Last week, post-FOMC decision not to hike, stocks fell.  They had rallied strongly into the meeting, and were probably set to drop either … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of September 15, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: When the Fed finally raises rates – whenever that is – ahead of that move should we now pay attention to fed funds … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of September 8, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: More jawboning this week!  Following in the footsteps of Christine Lagarde, IMF managing director, Kaushik Basu, World Bank chief economist, says the Fed … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of September 1, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The IMF is at it again.  This week, it reiterated its stance that advanced economies should maintain accommodative monetary policies.  By that it … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 25, 2015.  Change is week-over-week.  (Please keep in mind that these holdings are as of Tuesday.  By then, from high to low the S&P 500 was down 12.5 percent.  In … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials contained in the Commitment of Traders report as of August 18, 2015.  Change is week-over-week.  (Please note that these holdings are as of Tuesday.  The S&P 500 swooned six percent in the next … Continued

COT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 11, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: How might the renminbi devaluation impact the Fed’s desire to hike rates this year?  The devaluation is at least disinflationary as far U.S. … Continued

COT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 4, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Federal Reserve Governor Jerome Powell told CNBC on Wednesday that he has not made up his mind yet on whether interest rates should … Continued