Divergences abound, small-caps included

Small-cap shares are lagging.  This is no news.  Small-caps have been a topic of discussion on this blog several times before.  They have lagged their large-cap brethren, the S&P 500 Index, since early March.  That was when money started to … Continued

Oversold bounce possible on RUT near-term, but continued weakness probable medium-term

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The Russell 2000 Small Cap Index fell four percent last week.  In the futures market, large speculators could not have ridden it better.  They have been net short since early April – by both cutting longs and raising shorts – … Continued

Non-commercial futures traders yet to get behind ongoing six-week rally in RUT

posted in: Derivatives, Technicals | 0

One of the divergences we have witnessed in recent weeks/months is weak action in small-caps.  The Russell 2000 Small Cap Index peaked early March, then suffered a nine-week, 11-percent decline, followed by a rally beginning mid-May.  The index still trades … Continued

XLY’s near-term direction probably down in midst of energy uncertainty

Crude oil is on the move.  Since early April to last week’s high, the Brent has gone up by over 11 percent.  The West Texas Intermediate found a trough much earlier – early this year – and until the high … Continued

Large speculators in e-mini S&P futures have for several weeks been accumulating shorts and cutting longs

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

There are some interesting things happening in e-mini S&P 500 futures.  First, non-commercials are now net short 121k contracts, nearly double from two weeks ago.  In the intervening period, the S&P 500 index has managed to inch up, having backed … Continued