Bulls Momentum-Drunk – Rightly So Thus Far – But Momentum Cuts Both Ways

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Say what you want, equity bulls deserve kudos! There is an unprecedented bid under the market particularly since the election (November 8) last year.  The S&P 500 large cap index has nearly rallied 11 percent since!  The rubber band keeps … Continued

More Room To Rally Should Technical Rulebook Plays Out, But…

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The Russell 2000 small cap index (1370.70) is stuck in a rut at a higher plateau.  Sort of. The index has gone sideways for seven weeks now.  In the meantime, it rose to an all-time high of 1392.71 on December … Continued

Rally Possible – Question Is, Will It Begin Right Around Here Or From Lower Level?

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Major U.S. equity indices are at/approaching their respective 200-day moving average, even as they have pushed into oversold territory. At last Friday’s lows, the S&P 500 large cap index came within 0.03 percent of that average, the Russell 2000 small … Continued

Woulda Coulda Shoulda – This Is What Needs To Happen For Sustained Rally In Stocks N/T

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U.S. stocks had a very good week last week. The S&P 500 large cap index rallied 2.3 percent, Dow Industrials 2.1 percent, both Nasdaq 100 index and Russell 2000 small cap index 3.4 percent, among others. The rally comes in … Continued

Equity Bulls Better Off Distinguishing Between Near- And Medium-Term

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U.S. equities had a powerful session on Tuesday, followed by another good session on Wednesday.  Volume could have been a little better on major U.S. indices but price spoke loud and clear. The Nasdaq 100 surged 2.1 percent on Tuesday, … Continued

Major U.S. Indices Struggle At/Near Major Resistance – Risk/Reward Favorable For Shorts

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Major U.S. indices are struggling at major resistance. Here are the levels indices were aiming to take out: Dow Industrials, 17000-plus; S&P 500, 1990; Nasdaq 100, 4350; Dow Transports, 7700; and Russell 2000, 1080, among others. The Industrials sought to … Continued

Amidst Extremely Overbought Conditions, Major Indices At/Near Major Resistance

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U.S. stocks have come a long way since February 11th. Intra-day, off that low through last Friday’s high, here is how much major U.S. indices have rallied: Dow Industrials, 10.1 percent; S&P 500 large cap index (Chart 1), 11 percent; … Continued

Rally Odds Growing, But Upside Potential Probably Limited

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U.S. stocks have gone 12 straight sessions without even a sliver of a bounce.  About time for a reprieve? Between the December 29th intra-day high and January 15th low, the S&P 500 and Dow Industrials each lost 10.8 percent, the … Continued

Room For Stocks To Rally, Although Potential Short-Squeeze Fuel Not As Flammable As In Late Sep

posted in: Equities | 0

U.S stocks are off to a stumbling start in 2016. In the year’s first eight sessions through intra-day lows yesterday, the Dow Industrials lost 7.3 percent, the S&P 500 large cap index 7.5 percent, the Nasdaq composite 9.6 percent, and … Continued

Time For Bulls To Put Foot Down Near-Term; Medium- To Long-Term Outlook Dire

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With 2015 now in the annals of history, the message that came out can be described as mixed at best and bearish at worst. The S&P 500 index fell 0.7 percent last year – essentially flat (Chart 1).  The Nasdaq … Continued