Of late, momentum in U.S. sales of both new and existing homes Post-bubble burst, price has appreciated much faster than sales improvement Builders express optimism but are cautious in starting construction; inventory well-behaved The upward pressure on U.S. home prices … Continued
Over the past couple of days, U.S. housing produced two good reports for the month of May. Monday, existing home sales were published, coming in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.35 million units – up 5.1 percent month-over-month … Continued
U.S. home builder sentiment in June jumps, to match post-bubble high of last September Recent spike in interest rates, if sticks, potentially shot across housing bow ITB acts tentative, but has not given up on crucial 26 support U.S. home … Continued
Sales of U.S. new homes came in better than expected in April, up 6.8 percent month-over-month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 517,000. Monthly numbers tend to be volatile. The 12-month rolling total was 5.66 million in the month … Continued
The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of May 19, 2015. Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The April FOMC minutes for all intents and purposes put a nail in the coffin of June rate-hike odds. At the March meeting, … Continued
U.S. existing-home sales fell 3.3 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.04 million in April. March, however, was revised higher to 5.21 million from the previous 5.19 million. Depending on how one looks at it, there is both … Continued
The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of May 12, 2015. Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: If we just focus on weekly closing prices, the 10-year yield had a lackluster week – essentially flat. Nothing could be further from … Continued
Back on April 23rd, I wrote a piece on U.S. housing for See It Market (reposted here on 24th), arguing the importance of $26, and then $24, on the Home Construction ETF (ITB). The ETF ($26.32) closed at $27.45 on April … Continued
This week is perfect to be discussing U.S. housing dynamics as the March sales numbers for existing and new homes were just published. The report was mixed. Sales of existing homes rose 6.1 percent to an annual rate of 5.19 … Continued
U.S. home builder sentiment chirpy, near multi-year highs Just a matter of time before sentiment follows home sales/starts lower Stocks follow builder sentiment; ITB perilously close to breaking crucial support Hope springs eternal. U.S. home builders are an optimistic bunch. … Continued