Post-late December bottom, major US equity indices have rallied strongly to what could turn out to be strong resistance. Odds favor longs begin to lock in profit and/or shorts begin to get active. US stocks suffered quite a rout in … Continued
Since the intraday low on Boxing Day, SPY is up nearly 11 percent. Too far, too fast? Possibly, as the ETF is just a hair breadth away from support-turned-resistance at 260, which it lost mid-December. The Fed has a dual … Continued
Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the December 17-31 period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) Shorts got aggressive during the reporting period. XLB (52.48) dropped to 47.05 intraday on December … Continued
Fundamentals are still a suspect, but US stocks were treated with soothing comments from Fed chief last week. Bulls have the ball, but bears are likely to show up at $260 on SPY. Speaking at the American Economic Association’s annual … Continued
Volatility has picked up in US stocks. This is a perfect environment for traders who are nimble enough and ready to take ones and twos, quickly locking in what markets give them. It is increasingly becoming clear why stocks began … Continued
The January barometer failed to work last year. This year, if the first session is anything to go by, odds are it will be volatile. Amidst all this, equity bulls should take heart from the fact that in the latest … Continued
It is probably not coincidental that US stocks and Treasury yields peaked together early October. The 10-year rate is right near support and has room to rally near term. This should bode well for equity bulls who last week put … Continued
Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the December 3-14 period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) XLB (49.46) dropped to 47.05 intraday Wednesday before reversing to end the session up 4.5 … Continued
From early October, the S&P 500 is down 18 percent. Important support lies at 2400, or just underneath. Several indicators are at/near panic levels. Risk-reward odds favor unwinding of these conditions sooner than later. There is blood on the Street. … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 18, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 380.8k, down 13k. With pressure growing from diverse quarters, including the White House, to stay pat in this week’s meeting, the Fed went ahead … Continued