The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of May 26, 2015. Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: If we just focus on what the consensus was expecting, U.S. economic data this week were split down the middle, with maybe a … Continued
So far this week, both bulls and bears can claim victory Watch out when VIX breaks out of downward sloping Oct 14 trendline Bulls have ball and could prove costly if they fumble; SPX at crucial technical level Bulls = … Continued
Sales of U.S. new homes came in better than expected in April, up 6.8 percent month-over-month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 517,000. Monthly numbers tend to be volatile. The 12-month rolling total was 5.66 million in the month … Continued
IWM breaks out of 11-month range early Feb, but momentum slipping; loses Oct 14 trendline Short interest building from low level; large specs adding to net shorts in recent weeks Credit call spread to take advantage of probable sideways/down move … Continued
Twitter (TWTR) closed at $36.60 on Friday. Sellers of May 22nd 37 cash-secured puts are now long the stock, which was discussed on the May 19th post (here). The $0.39 premium earned makes it an effective long at $36.61. What … Continued
The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of May 19, 2015. Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The April FOMC minutes for all intents and purposes put a nail in the coffin of June rate-hike odds. At the March meeting, … Continued
U.S. financials continue to send conflicting signals. As important a sector as this one is, what happens next probably will hold clues to a whole host of things, ranging from what lies ahead for the U.S. economy to where interest … Continued
S&P 500 retraces 161.8 percent Fib extension of Oct 07-Mar 09 decline Transports not in sync with Dow/S&P 500, having broken several support levels Having spent lots of buying power of late, SPX shows signs of fatigue; pullback odds rising … Continued
It is an understatement to say that trading in Treasury bonds was volatile last week – just check out the action on various yields. From intra-day low to high, the 10-year yield swung 20 basis points, but closed out the … Continued
Not much has changed fundamentally since Twitter (TWTR) was last discussed. That was Monday last week (prior lengthy discussion here). Except President Obama has his own Twitter account now. In the past week, earnings estimates for the second and third … Continued