Long And Short Of Short Interest

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the January 16-31 period in 10 S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) Shorts continued to cut back in the second half of January, as XLB (52.78) kept … Continued

January Barometer +VE, But Flows Not In Cooperation Despite Massive Jan Rally

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

January barometer, if comes to pass, bodes well for this year.  The S&P 500 is up nearly 16 percent from the December 26 low.  It is deeply overbought.  Once unwinding begins, bulls hope bids show up at resistance-turned-support at 2600-2630.  … Continued

Bulls Defend 2600-2630 On S&P 500 Last Week – Market Reaction To FOMC Meeting This Week Likely Tell

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Bulls last week defended support at 2600-2630 on the S&P 500, which has rallied massively since bottoming on December 26.  Daily conditions are deeply overbought, pricing in a dovish Fed.  A two-day FOMC meeting begins Tuesday.  A ‘buy the rumor, … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 11, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 393.8k, up 100.6k. Next week – on 18-19 – the FOMC meets.  This is the last meeting this year.  A 25-basis-point raise is expected, … Continued

If G-20 Disappoints, Weakness Likely Gets Bought In Seasonally Favorable Period

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

In a session the S&P 500 rallied 2.3 percent, VIX held up better on Wednesday.  It is probably due to the uncertainty surrounding US-China trade talks over the weekend in Argentina.  Should, come Monday, stocks initially get roiled it is … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of November 13, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 333.2k, down 206k. On October 5, the 10-year rate (3.07 percent) began retreating after touching 3.25 percent – the highest since May 2011.  Thursday … Continued

Indices Under Pressure – Again – Bulls Need To Defend Recent Lows

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Major US equity indices are once again under pressure, likely eyeing recent lows.  In the event they are not breached, options can offer an opportunity for nimble traders. Bears were looking at decent odds to get aggressive last week.  The … Continued