January barometer, if comes to pass, bodes well for this year. The S&P 500 is up nearly 16 percent from the December 26 low. It is deeply overbought. Once unwinding begins, bulls hope bids show up at resistance-turned-support at 2600-2630. … Continued
Bulls last week defended support at 2600-2630 on the S&P 500, which has rallied massively since bottoming on December 26. Daily conditions are deeply overbought, pricing in a dovish Fed. A two-day FOMC meeting begins Tuesday. A ‘buy the rumor, … Continued
Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the January 2-15 period in 10 S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) XLB (53.12) five sessions ago recaptured a falling trend line from last September. In the … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 11, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 393.8k, up 100.6k. Next week – on 18-19 – the FOMC meets. This is the last meeting this year. A 25-basis-point raise is expected, … Continued
In a session the S&P 500 rallied 2.3 percent, VIX held up better on Wednesday. It is probably due to the uncertainty surrounding US-China trade talks over the weekend in Argentina. Should, come Monday, stocks initially get roiled it is … Continued
Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the November 1-15 period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) After a horrendous October, XLB (53.26) bulls defended horizontal support at 50 toward the end … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of November 13, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 333.2k, down 206k. On October 5, the 10-year rate (3.07 percent) began retreating after touching 3.25 percent – the highest since May 2011. Thursday … Continued
Major US equity indices are once again under pressure, likely eyeing recent lows. In the event they are not breached, options can offer an opportunity for nimble traders. Bears were looking at decent odds to get aggressive last week. The … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 30, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 502.8k, down 41.2k. The 10-year Treasury rate continues to trade in a no-man’s land. Sort of. On October 5, it began retreating after touching … Continued
The ongoing selloff in equities has been quick and painful – similar to what transpired in February this year. Back then, once stocks bottomed, they proceeded to rally strongly. Will the current selloff evolve the same way? Too early to … Continued