US Dollar Index Rallies 5.6% in 5 Weeks – If Sustained, Can Impact Inflation, Exports, Economy, Earnings

posted in: Currency, Economy, Technicals | 0

The US dollar index has rallied strongly in the past five weeks.  This can potentially have consequences for US inflation, exports, economy, earnings and what not.  But was the rise enough for FOMC members to discuss in the March meeting? … Continued

Gold Attacks Crucial Resistance, Which Likely Cracks – If Not Right Away, Later

posted in: Commodities, Derivatives, Technicals | 0

Gold is hammering on crucial resistance.  This has been going on for a while now.  A breakout will happen – sooner or later. Kudos to the gold bugs, they are at it again. Once again, they are hammering on resistance … Continued

Too Simplistic To Say Small-Caps Will Outperform In Case Of Trade War

posted in: Currency, Equities, Technicals | 0

As talk of potential trade war heats up, attention has shifted to U.S. small-caps.  Deserved or too simplistic? Early last week, the Russell 2000 small cap index tried to take out not one but two levels of resistance – the … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 27, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 342.9k, up 128.4k. On February 5 when Jerome Powell took over as Fed chair the S&P 500 large cap index dropped 4.1 percent, and … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 20, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 214.5k, down 82.5k. Three percent on the 10-year Treasury note is a closely watched level by many.  If it is surpassed, stops likely get … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 13, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 296.9k, down 30.6k. If 10-year Treasury yields (2.88 percent) reach three percent – or even where they are currently – would/could that be used … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 30, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 215.6k, up 97.7k. Last week, the futures-market odds of a 25-basis-point hike in the March (20-21) meeting in the fed funds rate stood at … Continued