Spread Between NAAIM Index And AAII Bulls In Red Zone — Risk-Reward Odds Unfavorable For Bulls, Particularly New Longs

posted in: Equities | 0

NAAIM and AAII bulls do not always move hand in hand.  Understandably so.  They represent two different buying sources.  Currently, they are going their separate ways.  The spread between the two is fast approaching a level that in the past … Continued

After Massive Rally Off March Lows And Options Waiving Caution Flag, Johnny-Come-Latelies Risk Holding The Bag

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Overbought on the daily timeframe, major US equity indices are right at, or near, the upper bound of the recent trading range.  Volume has dried up, and bulls are staying put, hoping for a breakout.  Should one come about, there … Continued

Bulls Have Momentum, Hope To Cash In On Lowered 3Q19 Earnings Estimates

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Major US equity indices are within striking distance of July highs.  Sentiment took a small hit in recent weeks and has room to rise.  How markets react to lowered 3Q19 earnings estimates will decide if bulls will be able to … Continued

Stars Lining Up For Decent Rally In Stocks

After rallying in June and most of July, stocks began selling off late last month.  Bulls nonetheless have managed to defend major support, even as stars seem to be lining up for them – magnitude and duration notwithstanding. Bulls are … Continued

Both Bulls And Bears Put Foot Down Last Week, This Week Crucial

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Arguably, both bulls and bears won last week.  Bears began the week with a big growl.  Monday, the S&P 500 large cap index dropped three percent and the Nasdaq 100 3.6 percent.  Intraday, in fact, there were respectively down 3.7 … Continued

After Nasty May, Relief Rally Underway – Tue’s News Flow Perceived As Positive

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

An oversold market, desperate for positive news – real or perceived – got some Tuesday.  Major US equity indices rallied massively, closing right at/near important resistance.  In the right circumstances for bulls, more upside is likely near term.  Medium-term risks … Continued

Bulls Pulling In Horns In Recent Weeks, But Sentiment Nowhere Near Dec lows

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Since early May, stocks have come under pressure.  Investors sentiment similarly is on the back foot.  But it will be a while before bullish sentiment reaches a washout low. US stocks came under pressure as soon as May began.  From … Continued

Despite 20% Rally In S&P 500 In Past 11 Weeks, Investor Sentiment Restrained

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Since late December, US stocks have rallied massively.  Yet, investor sentiment has not caught up.  Reason for bulls to worry or rejoice?  The answer may lie in who decisively wins the bull-bear tug of war around 2800 on S&P 500. … Continued