NYSE short interest rises to match mid-Oct highs, diverges from Nasdaq Within Nasdaq, shorts aggressive in pure tech, but less so in biotech Relatively low short interest on IBB probably does not help longs It is getting a little difficult … Continued
Small-caps relative outperformer past several weeks Hard to make fundamental case, but technically RUT acts very well Ideal, and probable, scenario: RUT pulls back for successful retest of recent breakout There is something very interesting going on in the small-cap … Continued
The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 17, 2015. Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: What a week! In four out of the five sessions, the 10-year yield fell – down 18 basis points for the week. On … Continued
The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 10. Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: 10-year yields shed another 13 basis points in the week. Nonetheless, note owners continued to sell near 2.04 percent. And these traders, in agreement, … Continued
The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 3. Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: They continued to add to net shorts, and it has so far backfired. Post-jobs report Friday, the 10-year yield shot up 13 basis points. … Continued
’15 growth in revenue/earnings expected to decelerate for most S&P 500 sectors Signal from options market points to probable pressure ahead for equities S&P 500 looks set to at least test if recent breakout was genuine At first glance, U.S. … Continued
The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of February 24 (Tuesday). Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Non-commercials are doing it again. They increased net shorts by 63 percent in the latest reporting period. Turns out they picked a wrong … Continued
Contrary message from U.S. dollar and bonds as to prospects for interest-rate hike by Fed Latest Humphrey-Hawkins testimony shows Chair Janet Yellen leaning dovish Hedge funds are neck-deep in bullish dollar bets, expecting higher rates Currency and bond markets are … Continued
The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of February 17 (Tuesday). Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The 10-year yield had been trending down within a channel since it peaked on December 30, 2013 at three percent. Early this year, … Continued
Amidst deteriorating U.S. earnings picture and geopolitical uncertainty, stocks resilient Major indices break out, but how much buying power did bulls expend? Breakouts deserve respect, unless they are proven false Are U.S. equities trying to tell us something? Almost out … Continued