The 10-year T-yield dropped from 3.24 percent a month ago to last Thursday’s intraday low of 2.83 percent. The daily chart is grossly oversold. A rally looks imminent near term, meaning TLT is headed lower. US average hourly earnings for … Continued
Post-Powell’s supposed dovish switch last week, equity bulls spent lots of energy to rally the S&P 500 within less than two points of the 200-day. If the trade-tariff truce the US and China reached over the weekend in Argentina is … Continued
Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the November 1-15 period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) After a horrendous October, XLB (53.26) bulls defended horizontal support at 50 toward the end … Continued
Major US equity indices are once again under pressure, likely eyeing recent lows. In the event they are not breached, options can offer an opportunity for nimble traders. Bears were looking at decent odds to get aggressive last week. The … Continued
Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the October 16-31 period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) During October’s selling, XLB (54.98) went on to lose horizontal support at 56. This preceded … Continued
The ongoing selloff in equities has been quick and painful – similar to what transpired in February this year. Back then, once stocks bottomed, they proceeded to rally strongly. Will the current selloff evolve the same way? Too early to … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 23, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 544k, down 71.9k. The 10-year Treasury rate (3.08 percent) shed 12 basis points this week – now down 17 basis points from the intraday … Continued
Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the October 1-15 period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) Three weeks ago, XLB (50.51) fell out of a slightly rising ascending channel. The drop … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 16, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 616k, down 6.5k. Three weeks ago, non-commercials were net short 756,316 contracts in 10-year Treasury note futures – a record. They have since reduced … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of October 9, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 622.4k, down 117.8k. Back in July 2016, the 10-year Treasury rate (3.14 percent) bottomed at 1.34 percent. Since then, it has made higher lows. … Continued