Long And Short Of Short Interest

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the September 1-15 period in the Nasdaq and NYSE Group as well as nine S&P 500 sectors. Nasdaq Since reaching an all-time high of 6477.77 in a spinning … Continued

Gold At Crucial Spot – Heavily Net Long Non-Commercials Better Not Cash In Gains

After rallying 13-plus percent in a couple of months, gold has come under pressure the past couple of weeks.  Non-commercials may end up deciding what happens next. Once again, the yellow metal sits at a crucial juncture. On July 10, … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Sep 19, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 270.1k, up 18.4k. Americans’ love for leverage needs no elaboration.  The debt culture began in earnest in the early ’80s.  Leverage remains high – … Continued

With Income And Home Price Headwind, Hitherto-Housing Tailwind Rates Need Close Watch

posted in: Credit, Economy | 0

Rates are rising – probably not enough to seriously hurt sectors such as housing, but will in due course if the momentum continues. In merely nine sessions, 10-year Treasury yields have gone up by 24 basis points to 2.28 percent, … Continued

Unwinding Of Balance Sheet News – Real News Is When Fed Reverses Decision

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities | 0

It is probably a foregone conclusion that the Fed later today leaves interest rates unchanged, and will announce a plan to gradually shrink its massive portfolio of mortgage and Treasury bonds. The question is, how would the markets react?  The … Continued

Russell 2000 Yet To Make New High – Different Ball Game If Bulls Can Squeeze Non-Commercials

Small-caps have come alive in the past month, with the caveat that the Russell 2000 small cap index is still 1.4 percent from its all-time high of July.  The bulls’ best hope near term: squeeze non-commercials. Post-U.S. presidential election last … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Sep 12, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 251.7k, up 29.9k. The FOMC’s two-day meeting begins Tuesday.  A press conference by Janet Yellen, Fed chair, is scheduled for Wednesday.  After this, there … Continued

XLF Likely Faces Selling Pressure If Rallies To Broken Support

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

With XLF (SPDR financial ETF) short interest near a multi-month low and the Treasury yield curve continuing to come under pressure, U.S. financials are acting weak, even breaking down. Back in March this year, XLF unsuccessfully tested the prior high … Continued