CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Sep 5, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 221.8k, down 61.9k. Last week, 2Q17 real GDP growth was revised higher to three percent – much better than the post-Great Recession average of … Continued

Amidst Subdued Capex Scene, Nasdaq 100 Scores Yet Another High Last Fri

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index is doing very well so far this year – up 22.4 percent.  This compares with a rise of 10.3 percent for the Dow Industrials, 10.1 percent for the S&P 500 large cap index, and a … Continued

S&P 500 Refuses To Buckle Under, But Sentiment Complacent Near Term

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

U.S. equity bulls regained momentum last week, but this also put near-term sentiment at/near complacency. Since rising to an all-time high of 2490.87 on August 8, the S&P 500 large cap index was bound by a falling trend line (Chart … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Aug 29, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 283.7k, up 22.5k. Hurricane Harvey may have given the Fed an excuse not to hike come December.  At least that is how markets are … Continued

Having Peaked 10 Q’s Ago, Corporate Profits Inch Up In 2Q17 – ’18 S&P 500 Ests Elevated

posted in: Economy, Equities | 0

U.S. corporate profits adjusted for inventory valuation and capital consumption grew 1.3 percent quarter-over-quarter in 2Q17 to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2.14 trillion, but growth has been uneven since peaking at $2.23 trillion in 4Q14. Since that peak … Continued

Gold Breaks Out Of September 2011 Trendline

Just when one thought the North Korean crisis had died down, Kim Jong-un fires another missile.  Did gold anticipate this?  On Monday, the metal scored what could turn out to be an important breakout. To be fair, gold reached a … Continued

Stocks Offer Something For Both Bulls And Bears – Odds Again Favor Latter N/T

The past couple of weeks offered both equity bulls and bears a little something to celebrate.  The bulls got the relief rally, and the bears an opportunity to short.  What next? Since the S&P 500 large cap index peaked on … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Aug 22, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 261.2k, up 60.7k. Fed funds futures are currently pricing in 40 percent odds of a 25-basis-point increase in December, while September and November are … Continued

Long And Short Of Short Interest

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the August 1-15 period in the Nasdaq and NYSE Group as well as nine S&P 500 sectors. Nasdaq Since the composite (6271.33) rallied to a new all-time high … Continued