Mar ’09 Trend Line Intact On Major U.S. Equity Indices – Can Drop A Good Deal Before A Test Occurs

Last Friday sent shivers down U.S. equity bulls’ spine.  Sort of.  The rout in tech stocks in particular was unsettling. After rising to a new all-time high of 5897.69, the Nasdaq 100 index lost 2.4 percent Friday.  Intraday, it was … Continued

XLF Bulls Defend Neckline, At Resistance – Risk Of Double-Top

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

The House pushed through a bill last Thursday aiming at getting rid of many of the Dodd-Frank reforms implemented post-Great Recession. The bill probably does not pass the Senate, but the very idea of less/lax regulations lit a fire under … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 6, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 212.1k, down 46.1k. The Fed is all set to hike next week.  Futures are pricing in 99.6-percent odds of a 25-basis-point increase.  This will … Continued

Stocks Rallied, Bonds Fell In Post-Election Optimism – Latter Now Disagrees

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

After President Donald Trump won the election last November, U.S. bonds and stocks had a massive positive reaction.  The former sold off, the latter rallied. On November 8 (election day), TLT, the iShares 20+ year Treasury bond ETF, closed at … Continued

Having Failed In Feb And Apr, Russell 2000 Attempts Another Range Breakout – Flows Not Cooperating

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Third time is a charm for small-caps? Having tried – and failed – twice to break out of a months-long range, the Russell 2000 small cap index went for a third one last week.  Odds favor it meets with the … Continued

Public Embraces Stock Rally – Will Crazy Get Crazier?

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities | 0

ETF.com carried a story on June 1 stating that U.S.-listed ETFs took in $32.7 billion in inflows in May.  Year-to-May, a total of $203.8 billion came in.  International equity ETFs made it big, as seven of the top 10 belonged … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 30, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 258.2k, down 104.3k. “If the tension between the progress on employment and the lack of progress on inflation persists, it may lead me to … Continued

ITB Up 33% Post-Election, Bulls Defend Crucial Trend Line Support – Momentum Slowing

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

ITB, the iShares U.S. home construction ETF, has posted seven straight positive months.  The rally began last November – post-election. Momentum is not broken, but is not in acceleration either.  May was essentially unchanged – up 0.25 percent – with … Continued