With higher lows since the December 2015 trough, gold finds itself right underneath major resistance. A breakout would speak volumes about the global economy and how major central banks would react in response. Near-term notwithstanding, gold bugs deserve the benefit … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 29, 2019. Beginning December 21, the CFTC was not able to publish reports on time due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, which has now reopened. The CFTC expects … Continued
After the October-December rout, US stocks rallied big in January and February-to-date. Several data points such as consumer and investor sentiment followed suit, but their rise has been muted. For longs, this could mean there is room for more strength, … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 22, 2019. Beginning December 21, the CFTC was not able to publish reports on time due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, which has now reopened. The CFTC expects … Continued
Thursday’s retail sales data likely poured more gasoline into the recession-fear fire. The cycle is getting long in the tooth. Risks are rising. The expansion has lasted for nearly a decade. Contraction is just a matter of when not if. … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 15, 2019. Beginning December 21, the CFTC was not able to publish reports on time due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, which has now reopened. The CFTC expects … Continued
Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the January 16-31 period in 10 S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) Shorts continued to cut back in the second half of January, as XLB (52.78) kept … Continued
Major US equity indices are facing moving-average as well as Fibonacci resistance. The path of least resistance is down near term, with decent support not too far away. For this to hold, money-market funds hold the key. Since peaking at … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 8, 2019. Beginning December 21, the CFTC was not able to publish reports on time due to the partial shutdown of the federal government, which has now reopened. On Tuesday, data … Continued
US trade deficit continues its uptrend. Deficit with China in particular is front and center. Trade talks with that nation are ongoing. November’s report, out Wednesday, did nothing to soothe tensions. In general, the monthly trade data put out by … Continued