CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 23, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: In the Greenspan era, traders did not have to deal with the kind of mixed messages they do today.  Back then, the message … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 16, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: One more prominent central banker this week seemed to throw his hands up in the air. John Williams, San Francisco Fed president, in … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 9, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Are we beginning to see a chink in central bankers’ armor? Major central banks responded to the financial crisis by aggressively deploying both … Continued

Dollar And Crude Need To Cooperate Big Time For 2H Earnings Estimates To Come Through

The 2Q16 earnings season is winding down.  As of August 3rd, 430 of S&P 500 companies have reported results, with 297 beating (69.1 percent) on operating earnings, 40 meeting and 93 missing.  (By now, 453 have reported, so the above … Continued

Breakout On Major U.S. Indices Fizzles Or Sizzles To Blow-Off Top?

Breakouts galore in U.S. equity indices! The S&P 500 large cap index broke out to a new all-time high on July 11th, and has since made several more highs.  The breakout came after having gone sideways since essentially February 2015 … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of August 2, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Mixed messages from two major central banks! On Friday last week, Haruhiko Kuroda, BoJ governor, decided not to live up to markets’ lofty … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of July 26, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The Fed stopped short of signaling a rate hike near term.  That said, the statement also said “near-term risks to the economic outlook … Continued

FOMC Meeting To Throw Monkey Wrench Into Dollar/S&P 500 Rally N/T?

As of last Thursday (July 21st), as per S&P Dow Jones Indices, 123 of S&P 500 companies reported their 2Q16 results, 81 of them beat on an operating basis, 23 missed and 19 met consensus estimates.  On a reported basis, … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of July 19, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: If you repeat something often enough, it becomes the truth.  So the saying goes. Why bring this up?  There is a sudden uptick … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of July 12, 2016.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: TLT, the iShares 20+ year treasury bond ETF, was punished for a 3.6-percent drop this week.  This followed a parabolic rally, particularly after … Continued