Gold is hammering on crucial resistance. This has been going on for a while now. A breakout will happen – sooner or later. Kudos to the gold bugs, they are at it again. Once again, they are hammering on resistance … Continued
Since bottoming at $47.37 early February, XLU ($50.13) has made higher lows, with the 50-day moving average flattish and the 10- and 20-day flattish to slightly rising. Encouraging if you are a bull, but at the same time the $51 … Continued
Presently, the state of US trade deficit and how the Trump administration is attempting to address it is front and center. In February, the deficit came in at $57.6 billion, with the 12-month total of $589.6 billion, which was the … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 3, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 375.4k, up 70.2k. Ten-year Treasury yields (2.78 percent) rose from 2.03 percent last September to 2.94 percent this February. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate … Continued
The S&P 500 large cap index is testing the lows of February, but VIX acts nowhere near as panicky. This could be a tell for stocks near term. The ISM manufacturing index dropped 1.5 points month-over-month in March. February’s 60.8 … Continued
February and March wrought technical damage on major US equity indices, but the path of least resistance increasingly looks up near term. March-quarter earnings season is upon us. This is the first quarter US companies will be reporting after the … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 27, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 305.2k, down 8.1k. For the first time since mid-December last year, 10-year Treasury yields went under the 50-day moving average this week. On March … Continued
Risks are building medium- to long-term, but the Nasdaq 100 is getting oversold on the daily chart. After major U.S. equity indices reversed on February 9, tech-heavy indices were the only ones to rally to new highs. The Nasdaq 100 … Continued
Stocks are selling off, but major indices are at/near crucial support, testing the will of the bulls. High-yield spreads are tightening. In Chart 1, the ICE BofAML US high yield BB effective yield is pitted against Moody’s seasoned AAA corporate … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of March 20, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 313.3k, up 41.9k. Chairing his maiden meeting as Fed chief, Jerome Powell probably could not have asked for more insofar as markets’ reaction was … Continued