CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 27, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 302.1k, down 43.1k. Rising asset prices were once again a talk of the Fed town. On Tuesday, Janet Yellen, Fed chair, Stanley Fischer, vice-chair, … Continued

Short-Term Volatility Way Too Compressed To Cause Major Breakout On S&P 500

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Dips continue to get bought, even as volatility struggles to hold on to gains. On the S&P 500 large cap index, bulls forced a break out of 2400 five weeks ago.  Just a few days afterwards, the breakout was defended … Continued

Bulls Under Tremendous Pressure To Save Support on Spot WTI

Crude oil made the headlines big last week – in an adverse manner.  Not that it has not been in the headlines.  But last week was different in that it entered a bear market, which supposedly happens when an asset … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 20, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 345.2k, up 71.2k. Last week, 10-year T-yields lost – albeit ever so slightly – a rising trend line from last July.  Back then, yields … Continued

Shortly After Range Breakout, Russell 2000 Repelled At Rising Channel Resistance

Post-presidential election last November, a fire was lit under U.S. small-caps.  Between November 8 and December 9, IWM (iShares Russell 2000 ETF) jumped north of 16 percent.  QQQ (PowerShares Nasdaq 100 ETF) only rallied two percent during the period. As … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of June 13, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 274k, up 61.9k. Market reaction to the FOMC decision Wednesday smacked of confusion, to say the least. As expected, the Fed raised the fed … Continued

Mar ’09 Trend Line Intact On Major U.S. Equity Indices – Can Drop A Good Deal Before A Test Occurs

Last Friday sent shivers down U.S. equity bulls’ spine.  Sort of.  The rout in tech stocks in particular was unsettling. After rising to a new all-time high of 5897.69, the Nasdaq 100 index lost 2.4 percent Friday.  Intraday, it was … Continued

XLF Bulls Defend Neckline, At Resistance – Risk Of Double-Top

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

The House pushed through a bill last Thursday aiming at getting rid of many of the Dodd-Frank reforms implemented post-Great Recession. The bill probably does not pass the Senate, but the very idea of less/lax regulations lit a fire under … Continued