SPY Puts Together 7-Session, 5.4% Rally – Breather/Reversal Path Of Least Resistance N/T

Intraday over seven sessions, SPY rallied 5.4 percent.  If not an outright reversal, at least a breather is the path of least resistance near term, creating opportunity to earn premium in options. The 1Q18 earnings season is nearly over.  As … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 8, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 408.6k, down 37k. The 10-year Treasury rate (2.97 percent) once again is hammering on three percent.  On April 25, yields retreated after rising intraday … Continued

Little Too Early To Conclude, But Watch Out If US Consumers Start Saving More

posted in: Commodities, Credit, Economy, Equities | 0

There are some signs US consumers are beginning to save up a little and cut down on credit card debt.  If – big IF – sustained, this will have consequences for the economy, not to mention stocks. In general, a … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 1, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 445.7k, down 16.5k. US inflation of late has firmed up.  Core PCE – the Fed’s favorite measure of consumer inflation – jumped 1.88 percent … Continued

Gold At Crucial Support – Dollar To The Rescue Near Term?

posted in: Currency, Derivatives, Technicals | 0

Once again, spot gold ($1,305.60/ounce) is testing crucial support.  The US dollar can help, at least near term. The yellow metal has pretty much been range-bound for two years now – between $1,300 and $1,360-70.  Most recently, the upper bound … Continued

Gold Has Momentum, Currently Faces Confluence Of Resistance

Spot gold ($1,352.10/ounce) sits at a crucial technical juncture.  A breakout would send a loud and clear message. Since bottoming at $1,045.40 in December 2015 through last week’s high of $1,365.40, gold quietly rallied nearly 31 percent.  Stocks did better … Continued

R2K Faces 161.8% Fib-Extension Resistance – Repercussions For Non-Commercials Plus IWM/IJR Longs

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Helped along by massive short squeeze and healthy flows into ETFs, small-caps have broken out to 161.8-percent Fibonacci-extension resistance. Most recently, the Russell 2000 small cap index bottomed on August 18, and has gone on to rally 12-plus-percent since.  In … Continued

Having Failed In Feb And Apr, Russell 2000 Attempts Another Range Breakout – Flows Not Cooperating

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Third time is a charm for small-caps? Having tried – and failed – twice to break out of a months-long range, the Russell 2000 small cap index went for a third one last week.  Odds favor it meets with the … Continued

Public Embraces Stock Rally – Will Crazy Get Crazier?

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities | 0

ETF.com carried a story on June 1 stating that U.S.-listed ETFs took in $32.7 billion in inflows in May.  Year-to-May, a total of $203.8 billion came in.  International equity ETFs made it big, as seven of the top 10 belonged … Continued