Ten-Year T-Yields Give Out Early Signs Of Fatigue – TLT Buy Write

posted in: Credit, Derivatives, Economy, Technicals | 0

After a big rally in recent months, 10-year Treasury yields are giving out signs of fatigue – at least near term. Interest rates have suddenly become the talk of the town. Ten-year yields rallied from 2.03 percent on September 7 … Continued

Equity Bulls Put Foot Down Near Feb ’16 Trend Line

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

U.S. equity bulls stepped up near important support Tuesday.  Those lows have now taken on significance.  Should there be no violation, the path of least resistance is up – duration and magnitude notwithstanding. In the early months of 2016, stocks … Continued

Gold Has Momentum, Currently Faces Confluence Of Resistance

Spot gold ($1,352.10/ounce) sits at a crucial technical juncture.  A breakout would send a loud and clear message. Since bottoming at $1,045.40 in December 2015 through last week’s high of $1,365.40, gold quietly rallied nearly 31 percent.  Stocks did better … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 23, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 117.9k, up 28.6k. Tuesday, a two-day FOMC meeting begins.  This is the year’s first, and will be Janet Yellen’s, the outgoing chair, last.  (The … Continued

Long And Short Of Short Interest

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the January 1-12, 2018 period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) On the 16th this month, XLB (63.39) rose to 63.66 intraday but only to … Continued

WTI Crude Looks Tired – Trade Brewing In XLE

Spot West Texas Intermediate crude, up 54-plus percent since last June alone, is giving out signs of fatigue. Non-commercials have been on the right side of this trade.  As they usually are.  These traders follow the trend, and the trend … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 9, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 196.9k, up 121k. Is this the big one?  The big breakout in 10-year Treasury yields, that is? The 10-year has been trapped in a … Continued