Bounces are normal within established downtrends 2015 starts out lousy; selling/shorting rallies ka-ching so far this year Should Draghi disappoint next week and U.S. stocks get sold, weakness probably gets bought For ardent believers of “as goes January, so goes … Continued
The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of January 6th (Tuesday). Dollar and ten-year notes jump out the most. 10-year note: Substantial net shorts have been built up. In the prior week, large speculators were most short since mid-May … Continued
Rather quick deterioration in momentum in U.S. stocks From sentiment to Greece to $, worrywarts have plenty of things to worry about Next couple of days will be crucial for bulls to step in and try not to let things … Continued
With massive inflows just last week, stocks need another to stay afloat With at least three important events on calendar, Jan can throw wrench in the works With stocks holding up amidst signs of preference for risk-off; opportunity to sell … Continued
After impressive two-day advance, Russell 2000 on verge of bullish golden cross Potential unwinding of VIX surge of early this week to act as tailwind for stocks In the end, rally nothing but gift for patient bears to short from … Continued
Bears must be scratching their heads over the move by equities the past couple of sessions. Intra-day, the S&P 500 (2041) has managed to rally 3.7 percent. If we must find a catalyst, there are many to choose from – … Continued
Sellers take advantage of early-morning strength to sell more stocks Amidst this, transports, high-yields draw buyers; panic noticed in VIX:VXV action Trade could be developing, but given developments in energy space, sustained rally not probable Another ugly day! Could have … Continued
Bulls squander opportunity by failing to defend Tuesday’s lows on S&P 500 and Dow Put-to-call ratios just turning up, and have ways to go before they get overbought VIX surges 57% in three sessions; investors seek to protect 2014 paper … Continued
Inability of offensives to take the lead has been a thorn in the side of rally since Oct 15th low Outperformance last week of XLY vs. XLP and HYG vs. LQD sign of trend change? Duel on between seasonally favorable … Continued
The ratio of VIX to VXV is below 0.80 in early trading today. Early October, it was grossly overbought and was begging us to go long stocks. Now it is the opposite. Near-term volatility has collapsed. In the past, whenever … Continued