The rally the past couple of sessions, is it an oversold bounce or is there more to it than meets the eye? Particularly on Monday, money did come out of defensives such as utilities and health care, and into offensives … Continued
Non-commercials further added to net shorts in euro futures. They are now net short 129k contracts – a two-year high. In recent weeks these large speculators have been adding more shorts than cutting longs. Since early June, they cut longs … Continued
Chinese stocks have been on fire! From an intra-day low of 36.62 on June 24, FXI (iShares Trust FTSE-Xinhua China 25 Index Fund) shot up nearly 13 percent to 41.30 in a little over a month (by July 29, to … Continued
How equity traders are likely to position themselves for at least the next week or so will depend on how they answer the question above. As the accompanying chart shows, going back at least two and a half years, a … Continued
Yesterday was the first time since April the S&P 500 Index violated its 50-day moving average – both simple and exponential. This was the first test since May, yet there was hardly any resistance from the bulls. Sellers simply overwhelmed … Continued
The Chicago Board Options Exchange has been publishing values for the CBOE S&P 500 Skew Index since February 2011. The index seeks to measure the perceived risk of extreme negative moves in U.S. equity markets – the so-called tail risk. … Continued
There was an article on MarketWatch.com on Friday entitled “Why lagging small caps might not bring down the S&P 500.” The title says it all. The story seeks to justify why prevailing weakness in U.S. small-caps is not a cause … Continued
Small-cap shares are lagging. This is no news. Small-caps have been a topic of discussion on this blog several times before. They have lagged their large-cap brethren, the S&P 500 Index, since early March. That was when money started to … Continued
Enough ink has been spilled on how in recent months major indices – and sectors/industries within them – have been diverging from each other. For two and a half months beginning late February/early March, previously risk-on favorites such as solar, … Continued
The Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s July survey of fund managers was out the other day, and shows how lop-sided investor sentiment is at the moment. A net 61 percent are now overweight equities. The reading is highest since early … Continued