Amidst 2Q17 earnings and elevated multiples, some signs of fatigue are showing up on major U.S. indices. As of last Thursday, 2Q17 operating earnings of S&P 500 companies were on course for $30.70. In the year-ago quarter, they were $25.70 … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of July 25, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 280.7k, down 1.6k. After seven years of keeping the fed funds rate between zero and 25 basis points, the Fed began to hike in … Continued
Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the March 31-April 13 period in the Nasdaq and NYSE Group as well as nine S&P 500 sectors. Nasdaq – p/p, short interest ↑ 1.1%, Nasdaq composite ↓ … Continued
Spot West Texas Intermediate crude had a lousy last week, collapsing 9.1 percent as well as losing both 50- and 200-day moving averages. On a closing basis, it also lost the rising trend line from the lows of February last … Continued
Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the February 16-28 period in the Nasdaq and NYSE Group as well as nine S&P 500 sectors. Nasdaq – short interest ↑ 0.5% p/p; Nasdaq composite ↑ 0.1% … Continued
The Russell 2000 small cap index (1370.70) is stuck in a rut at a higher plateau. Sort of. The index has gone sideways for seven weeks now. In the meantime, it rose to an all-time high of 1392.71 on December … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 24, 2017. 10-year note: Yields (cash) rose 14 basis points for the week to 2.48 percent, having risen as high as 2.56 percent intra-day Thursday. Earlier, they bottomed at 2.31 percent … Continued
Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the December 16-30 period in the Nasdaq and NYSE Group as well as nine S&P 500 sectors. There has been widespread decline in short interest. Nasdaq – short … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 3, 2017. 10-year note: Tuesday brought December’s ISM manufacturing index, which rose 1.5 points month-over-month to a two-year high 54.7; orders jumped 6.8 points m/m to a 25-month high. Ten-year yields … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 20, 2016. 10-year note: Ten-year Treasury yields peaked at 15.8 percent in September 1981, then dropping to 1.39 percent by July 2012. In July this year, those lows were slightly undercut; the … Continued