If there has been one common thread shared by major U.S. indices before the rout this Monday, it is this: the sell-off preceded a trendline break. Back in the middle of October last year, as the S&P 500 Index was … Continued
Mon’s 35-percent rally in VIX rare – largest since 43-percent surge mid-Apr 2013 After weeks of suppression, VIX:VXV spikes into overbought zone – worth watching Not much change in Jul call open interest on Mon vs Fri; ATM put IV … Continued
The SPDR Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY) is primed for another short put options strategy. Last week, the ETF went on to rally 0.6 percent. Thus, the premium earned selling weekly June 26th 77 puts was kept. Could this work again … Continued
Last week, IWM, the iShares Russell 2000 ETF, dropped 0.3 percent, to $127.50, but not before scoring another intra-day high of $129.10. There is both good and bad in how the ETF traded during the week. First, it sold off … Continued
The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of June 23, 2015. Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Yields pushed up nearly 21 basis points for the week. Sales of both new and existing homes did well in May (even though … Continued
The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of June 16, 2015. Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Let us see if we can make some sense out of this week’s major developments. The FOMC met, and it looked like members … Continued
We are in uncharted territory! On so many levels. As you will see in the charts below, many valuation metrics are stretched. The nation’s debt load just rose to a new high. At 1Q15, the total credit market debt outstanding … Continued
Major U.S. indices have lost October 2014 trendline Other medium- to longer-term trendlines and support zones are intact Since trendline break is not in isolation, rather across indices, worth paying attention to Five weeks ago, the S&P 500 Index (2094.11) … Continued
The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of June 9, 2015. Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Last week, the IMF urged the Fed to delay a rate hike until 2016. This week, the World Bank said the same thing. … Continued
From the mid-May high of $49.75 to the low this Monday of $47.46, XLP, the SPDR Consumer Staples ETF, quickly lost 4.6 percent. In three weeks! Monday produced a doji, right around its 200-day moving average. By that time, daily … Continued