XLF Likely Faces Selling Pressure If Rallies To Broken Support

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With XLF (SPDR financial ETF) short interest near a multi-month low and the Treasury yield curve continuing to come under pressure, U.S. financials are acting weak, even breaking down. Back in March this year, XLF unsuccessfully tested the prior high … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Sep 5, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 221.8k, down 61.9k. Last week, 2Q17 real GDP growth was revised higher to three percent – much better than the post-Great Recession average of … Continued

Amidst Subdued Capex Scene, Nasdaq 100 Scores Yet Another High Last Fri

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The tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index is doing very well so far this year – up 22.4 percent.  This compares with a rise of 10.3 percent for the Dow Industrials, 10.1 percent for the S&P 500 large cap index, and a … Continued

S&P 500 Refuses To Buckle Under, But Sentiment Complacent Near Term

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

U.S. equity bulls regained momentum last week, but this also put near-term sentiment at/near complacency. Since rising to an all-time high of 2490.87 on August 8, the S&P 500 large cap index was bound by a falling trend line (Chart … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of Aug 29, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 283.7k, up 22.5k. Hurricane Harvey may have given the Fed an excuse not to hike come December.  At least that is how markets are … Continued

Having Peaked 10 Q’s Ago, Corporate Profits Inch Up In 2Q17 – ’18 S&P 500 Ests Elevated

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U.S. corporate profits adjusted for inventory valuation and capital consumption grew 1.3 percent quarter-over-quarter in 2Q17 to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $2.14 trillion, but growth has been uneven since peaking at $2.23 trillion in 4Q14. Since that peak … Continued

Gold Breaks Out Of September 2011 Trendline

Just when one thought the North Korean crisis had died down, Kim Jong-un fires another missile.  Did gold anticipate this?  On Monday, the metal scored what could turn out to be an important breakout. To be fair, gold reached a … Continued