Having Failed In Feb And Apr, Russell 2000 Attempts Another Range Breakout – Flows Not Cooperating

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

Third time is a charm for small-caps? Having tried – and failed – twice to break out of a months-long range, the Russell 2000 small cap index went for a third one last week.  Odds favor it meets with the … Continued

Public Embraces Stock Rally – Will Crazy Get Crazier?

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities | 0

ETF.com carried a story on June 1 stating that U.S.-listed ETFs took in $32.7 billion in inflows in May.  Year-to-May, a total of $203.8 billion came in.  International equity ETFs made it big, as seven of the top 10 belonged … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 30, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 258.2k, down 104.3k. “If the tension between the progress on employment and the lack of progress on inflation persists, it may lead me to … Continued

ITB Up 33% Post-Election, Bulls Defend Crucial Trend Line Support – Momentum Slowing

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

ITB, the iShares U.S. home construction ETF, has posted seven straight positive months.  The rally began last November – post-election. Momentum is not broken, but is not in acceleration either.  May was essentially unchanged – up 0.25 percent – with … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures – How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 23, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 362.5k, up 122.5k. FOMC minutes for the May 2-3 meeting were released Wednesday.  Post-statement, futures priced in 83 percent odds of a 25-basis-point hike … Continued

After Massive Post-Election Rally, XLF Stalls – Risk Of Double Top/Head-And-Shoulders Completion

posted in: Credit, Equities, Technicals | 0

U.S. financials are acting lethargic but they have so far managed to cling on to potentially crucial support. Post-presidential election last November, a fire was lit under U.S. financials. Intraday between November 9 and March 2, XLF, the SPDR financial … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures — How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 16, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 240k, up 10.9k. Non-commercials nailed it.  In the prior week, they had built net longs to the highest since December 2007, and were rewarded.  … Continued