COT: Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of July 7, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: After the June FOMC minutes were released, investors pushed back expectations for the first interest rate hike to March next year.  The minutes … Continued

Cash-Secured Put Probably Better Suited Than Bullish Risk Reversal For IYT

It has been a while the transports sector has acted like a sick puppy.  Yesterday’s action is a welcome change. IYT, the Dow Jones Transportation Average ETF, peaked November 28th last year at $166.55 – much earlier than other major … Continued

Cash-Secured Put To Benefit From Potential N/T Strength In Otherwise Unloved Gold

Looking around, there is no lack of things for investors to worry about.  Although that is not the impression one gets looking at how gold is trading. After an incessant rally, Chinese stocks are in the midst of a sharp … Continued

Weekly Short Put On ITB (iShares Home Construction ETF) After Assignment Of Naked Call Write

The July 2nd ITB 27.50 naked calls hypothetically written on June 24 ended up in the money by six cents.  The ETF closed at $27.56 last Thursday.  Calls were sold for $0.38, so, after assignment, it is now an effective … Continued

Peek Into Future Through Futures

The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of June 30, 2015.  Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Non-commercials continue to reduce net shorts – currently lowest since September 23rd last year.  They have reduced net shorts by 98 percent in … Continued

Monday Rout Preceded By Trendline Breakdown And False Breakout On Major Indices

posted in: Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

If there has been one common thread shared by major U.S. indices before the rout this Monday, it is this: the sell-off preceded a trendline break. Back in the middle of October last year, as the S&P 500 Index was … Continued

Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY): Short Put Options Trade — Again

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

The SPDR Consumer Discretionary ETF (XLY) is primed for another short put options strategy. Last week, the ETF went on to rally 0.6 percent.  Thus, the premium earned selling weekly June 26th 77 puts was kept.  Could this work again … Continued