CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 19, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 93.1k, down 58.4k. This data is a little outdated, but foreigners were big sellers of Treasury securities in March.  On a net basis, they … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of May 12, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 151.5k, up 9.2k. On Wednesday, Jerome Powell, Fed chair, provided a gloomy view of the economy, saying the nation was experiencing an economic hit … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 28, 2020. 10-year note: Currently net short 49.4k, up 15.3k. In the week ended February 11th, non-commercials held 398,919 net shorts in 10-year note futures.  On the 12th that month, the … Continued

Major US Equity Indices Oversold – On Lookout For Reversal Signal

From trade disputes to declining corporate profits to yield-curve inversion, there is no shortage of issues for worrywarts to worry about.  From recent highs, major US equity indices have dropped in the mid- to high-single digits.  Medium term, more downside … Continued

Bulls Pulling In Horns In Recent Weeks, But Sentiment Nowhere Near Dec lows

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Since early May, stocks have come under pressure.  Investors sentiment similarly is on the back foot.  But it will be a while before bullish sentiment reaches a washout low. US stocks came under pressure as soon as May began.  From … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 18, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 380.8k, down 13k. With pressure growing from diverse quarters, including the White House, to stay pat in this week’s meeting, the Fed went ahead … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of August 21, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 700.5k, up 2.3k. The 10-year T-yield (2.83 percent) lost five basis points this week.  The neckline of a potentially bearish head-and-shoulders formation has been … Continued

SPY Shorts With M/T Focus Have Option To Sell Weekly Puts

Bulls put foot down on major US equity indices last week.  They have the ball near term.  Shorts with medium-term focus can sell weekly puts to raise the short price. The greenback acts strong.  The US dollar index (95.98) hit … Continued