Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the January 1-13 period in the Nasdaq and NYSE Group as well as nine S&P 500 sectors. Nasdaq – short interest ↓ 0.4% p/p; Nasdaq composite ↑ 3.5% … Continued
Over the weekend came news that OPEC and non-OPEC producers had taken 1.5 million barrels per day out of the market. They had earlier agreed to output cut of 1.8 mb/d in the first six months this year. OPEC first … Continued
Small-caps have had weeks-long rest after a big rally. Are they consolidating for another leg higher or in a process of beginning a new downtrend? The Russell 2000 small cap index has gone flat for eight weeks now. This preceded … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 17, 2017. 10-year note: Bond bears near term have as good a chance as any to push long bonds still lower. TLT, the iShares 20+year Treasury bond ETF, peaked this Tuesday, … Continued
There is a new entrant in the list of things dollar bulls are having to grapple with. It is the Donald. Bulls were already locking horns with overbought technicals and non-commercial futures traders who persistently refused to jump on the … Continued
Two thousand and seventeen has gotten off to a good start. In the first nine sessions of the year, the S&P 500 large cap index is up 1.6 percent. For the most part, the rally is driven by offensive sectors/industries, … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 10, 2017. 10-year note: This is what makes a market. Two different bond luminaries looking at the same asset and coming up with two different analyses/conclusions. The issue in question is … Continued
Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the December 16-30 period in the Nasdaq and NYSE Group as well as nine S&P 500 sectors. There has been widespread decline in short interest. Nasdaq – short … Continued
The last time average hourly earnings of U.S. private-sector employees grew with a three handle was April 2009 … means in the current recovery wages are yet to print growth of three percent. December came close, with a year-over-year increase … Continued
The S&P 500 large cap index trades at 21.3 times operating earnings or 17.4 times or 15.5 times. Take your pick. The first one uses trailing 12-month earnings, and the latter two forward. In Chart 1, the red bars are … Continued