In/Leading Up To Seasonally Favorable Period, Greed Takes Over

Major US equity indices continue to attract bids and are trading at fresh highs.  Greed rules, with several metrics at nosebleed levels.  In a seasonally favorable period, crazy can get crazier – at least that is what bulls hope.  How … Continued

Bulls Have Momentum, Hope To Cash In On Lowered 3Q19 Earnings Estimates

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Major US equity indices are within striking distance of July highs.  Sentiment took a small hit in recent weeks and has room to rise.  How markets react to lowered 3Q19 earnings estimates will decide if bulls will be able to … Continued

Both Bulls And Bears Put Foot Down Last Week, This Week Crucial

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Arguably, both bulls and bears won last week.  Bears began the week with a big growl.  Monday, the S&P 500 large cap index dropped three percent and the Nasdaq 100 3.6 percent.  Intraday, in fact, there were respectively down 3.7 … Continued

After Last Week’s Drop, Relief Possible, But Downside Risks Remain

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Stocks took it on the chin last week.  Friday, major US equity indices all tested major averages – successfully.  A relief is possible near term.  Medium term, though, more pain probably lies ahead. Last Wednesday, the day the Fed lowered … Continued

Breakout In Small-Caps Can Drive Several Metrics Into Dangerously Extended Territory

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Large-caps keep making new highs.  Should small-caps, which currently sit at crucial juncture, manage to break out, risk-on sentiment can get a tailwind, driving several indicators – already extended – to dangerously extended territory. US equity indices keep making new … Continued

Bulls Pulling In Horns In Recent Weeks, But Sentiment Nowhere Near Dec lows

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Since early May, stocks have come under pressure.  Investors sentiment similarly is on the back foot.  But it will be a while before bullish sentiment reaches a washout low. US stocks came under pressure as soon as May began.  From … Continued

Opportunity For Small-Cap Bulls To Forge Crucial Breakout – Can They Deliver?

posted in: Uncategorized | 0

The Russell 2000 closed Friday right at, or slightly past, crucial resistance.  If bulls succeed in decisively take out this ceiling, risk-on sentiment can rise.  Failure to do so can lead longs, who are sitting on handsome gains, to lock … Continued

Some Potential Green Shoots From Money Markets, Although Foreigners Send Different Message

There was a massive drop in money-market assets last week.  This is a potential green shoot should this continue, although bulls could not quite cash in on it last week.  The mother of all potential green shoots – foreigners – … Continued

Despite 20% Rally In S&P 500 In Past 11 Weeks, Investor Sentiment Restrained

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Since late December, US stocks have rallied massively.  Yet, investor sentiment has not caught up.  Reason for bulls to worry or rejoice?  The answer may lie in who decisively wins the bull-bear tug of war around 2800 on S&P 500. … Continued

Versus Late-January Highs In US Stocks, Sentiment Nowhere As Giddy

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Major US equity indices are at/past late-January highs.  Investor sentiment, on the other hand, is nowhere near as giddy.  Is this good or bad? The Russell 2000 small cap index (1722.54) just broke out of a two-month pennant.  Of major … Continued