Odds Favor Shorts Near Term If S&P 500 Rallies To 2800+

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

Post-Powell’s supposed dovish switch last week, equity bulls spent lots of energy to rally the S&P 500 within less than two points of the 200-day.  If the trade-tariff truce the US and China reached over the weekend in Argentina is … Continued

Several Momentum Indicators Oversold, Stocks’ Path Of Least Resistance Up

The ongoing selloff in equities has been quick and painful – similar to what transpired in February this year.  Back then, once stocks bottomed, they proceeded to rally strongly.  Will the current selloff evolve the same way?  Too early to … Continued

After Tumultuous 2 Weeks, Equities Oversold – Good Idea To Cover Short

What a week!  Stocks really took it on the chin last week, but by Friday there was some semblance of stability.  Several indicators are in deep oversold territory.  At least a reflex rally is due. During the carnage over the … Continued

S&P 500 Earnings Dynamics Ahead Of 3Q18 Reporting Season Next Week

posted in: Economy, Equities | 0

Next week, 3Q18 earnings season gets underway.  Estimates are a little lower than when the quarter began.  This should help companies meet/beat numbers.  Elsewhere, year-over-year growth in 2018 estimates has peaked.  Historically, this has had repercussions for the S&P 500. … Continued

SPY Shorts With M/T Focus Have Option To Sell Weekly Puts

Bulls put foot down on major US equity indices last week.  They have the ball near term.  Shorts with medium-term focus can sell weekly puts to raise the short price. The greenback acts strong.  The US dollar index (95.98) hit … Continued

S&P 500 Breaks Out Of 2800, One More Hurdle Before Late-January High Is Tested

As 2Q earnings season got underway, the S&P 500 large cap index broke out of 2800.  If it were to rally toward its late-January all-time high, it has to first win over resistance around 2840. The S&P 500 (2809.55) faced … Continued

Post-Tax Cuts, Sell Side Rushes To Revise Up ’18 Earnings Estimates – P2S Ratio In Uncharted Territory

posted in: Equities | 0

The sell side is on the move. We just got the first taste of how bottom-up analysts view the recently passed tax cuts will impact corporate earnings. Last Friday, operating earnings estimates for S&P 500 companies were revised higher by … Continued