After rallies that lasted a little over two weeks, selling began on major US equity indices last week right at important resistance. This likely continues near term. US capacity utilization in March rose 0.4 percent month-over-month and 3.3 percent year-over-year … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 17, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 371.7k, up 41.1k. The Treasury yield curve once again is the talk of the town. The yield spread between 10- and two-year notes fell … Continued
The U.S. sovereign bond market has hit the headlines a lot these days. Rates have rallied big since September 2017 lows, but from suppressed levels, and are at crucial stage technically. At least near term, fundamentals do not allow for … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 20, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 214.5k, down 82.5k. Three percent on the 10-year Treasury note is a closely watched level by many. If it is surpassed, stops likely get … Continued
After a roller-coaster ride since peaking late January, U.S. equity indices have once again approached potentially critical technical juncture. The S&P 500 large cap index peaked on January 26 at an intraday high of 2872.87, then dropping 11.8 percent intraday … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of February 13, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 296.9k, down 30.6k. If 10-year Treasury yields (2.88 percent) reach three percent – or even where they are currently – would/could that be used … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of January 16, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 89.3k, down 107.6k. A Bloomberg article last week about China beginning to weigh slowing or halting purchases of U.S. Treasurys gave the bond market … Continued
Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the December 16-29 (2017) period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) Already up 3.2 percent for the month/year, XLB (62.47) stayed with the daily upper … Continued
Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the December 1-15 period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) XLB (60.37) continued to grind higher all along the daily upper Bollinger band, rising to … Continued
Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of December 12, 2017. 10-year note: Currently net long 44.7k, up 30.4k. The Fed and the Administration are not on the same page when it comes to expected growth in the U.S. economy. … Continued