Several Momentum Indicators Oversold, Stocks’ Path Of Least Resistance Up

The ongoing selloff in equities has been quick and painful – similar to what transpired in February this year.  Back then, once stocks bottomed, they proceeded to rally strongly.  Will the current selloff evolve the same way?  Too early to … Continued

After Tumultuous 2 Weeks, Equities Oversold – Good Idea To Cover Short

What a week!  Stocks really took it on the chin last week, but by Friday there was some semblance of stability.  Several indicators are in deep oversold territory.  At least a reflex rally is due. During the carnage over the … Continued

Decent Odds $116 Support On TLT Is Not Breached At Least N/T

posted in: Credit, Derivatives, Economy, Technicals | 0

In the midst of a flattening yield curve, the 10-year T-yield is once again hammering on resistance at just north of three percent.  Just a month ago, these notes yielded 2.81 percent.  At least a pause is due, raising the … Continued

SPY Shorts With M/T Focus Have Option To Sell Weekly Puts

Bulls put foot down on major US equity indices last week.  They have the ball near term.  Shorts with medium-term focus can sell weekly puts to raise the short price. The greenback acts strong.  The US dollar index (95.98) hit … Continued

SPY – Medium-Term Risks Building, But Can Rally Near Term

posted in: Credit, Economy, Equities, Technicals | 0

On the weekly chart, SPY remains grossly overbought, but near term there is room to rally – duration and magnitude notwithstanding.  Options can help. US core PCE (personal consumption expenditures) increased 1.96 percent year-over-year in May – essentially two percent.  … Continued

SPY Puts Together 7-Session, 5.4% Rally – Breather/Reversal Path Of Least Resistance N/T

Intraday over seven sessions, SPY rallied 5.4 percent.  If not an outright reversal, at least a breather is the path of least resistance near term, creating opportunity to earn premium in options. The 1Q18 earnings season is nearly over.  As … Continued

SPY Bulls Once Again Defend 200-DMA, Room To Rally N/T – Short Put For Premium

First-quarter earnings are coming in strong, but stocks are stuck in a rut.  There is room to rally near term, with tons of overhead resistance. One common complaint among the bulls is that US stocks of late have failed to … Continued

S&P 500 Struggle To Lift Off Of 200DMA – Short Put For Premium/To Position For Earnings Bounce

Presently, the state of US trade deficit and how the Trump administration is attempting to address it is front and center. In February, the deficit came in at $57.6 billion, with the 12-month total of $589.6 billion, which was the … Continued

Stocks’ Path Of Least Resistance Up N/T – SPY Weekly Short Put For Premium

posted in: Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

February and March wrought technical damage on major US equity indices, but the path of least resistance increasingly looks up near term. March-quarter earnings season is upon us.  This is the first quarter US companies will be reporting after the … Continued