Signs Of Fatigue Showing Up On S&P 500

Large- and small-cap divergence continues.  Versus the Russell 2000 and the Nasdaq 100, the S&P 500 is beginning to show signs of fatigue. Large-caps continue to fall behind small-caps.  Not to mention tech.  The S&P 500 large cap index was … Continued

SPY Stuck Within Box Last 2 Weeks – Double Calendar Spread For Theta Capture

posted in: Credit, Derivatives, Equities, Technicals | 0

SPY has broken out of late-January trend line, but acts lethargic, even as short-term technicals are in overbought territory.  Options can help. Since the bull market began in March 2009, time and again shorts have lent a helping hand to … Continued

Dec ’16 Trend Line Defended – Decent Odds Gold Recaptures Broken Support

Gold faced pressure after running into resistance six weeks ago.  The subsequent drop cost the metal long-term support at $1,300-plus.  Gold bugs were not ready to give in that easy, though.  They defended a rising trend line from December 2016.  … Continued

Long And Short Of Short Interest

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the May 1-15 period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) Two weeks ago, XLB (59.33) broke out from a late-January falling trend line, but building … Continued

Nasdaq 100 Last Week Retreats From Crucial Level – Action This Week Could Be Telling

The Nasdaq 100 index/QQQ could be potentially forming the right side of a bearish head-and-shoulders pattern.  This week’s action could provide further clues. The US economy is one month short of completing nine years of expansion.  The recovery has been … Continued

SPY Puts Together 7-Session, 5.4% Rally – Breather/Reversal Path Of Least Resistance N/T

Intraday over seven sessions, SPY rallied 5.4 percent.  If not an outright reversal, at least a breather is the path of least resistance near term, creating opportunity to earn premium in options. The 1Q18 earnings season is nearly over.  As … Continued

Long And Short Of Short Interest

posted in: Equities, Technicals | 0

Here is a brief review of period-over-period change in short interest in the April 16-30 period in nine S&P 500 sectors. XLB (SPDR materials ETF) Since peaking at 64.17 on January 26, XLB (58.49) has persistently made lower highs.  A … Continued

CoT: Peek Into Future Through Futures, How Hedge Funds Are Positioned

Following futures positions of non-commercials are as of April 24, 2018. 10-year note: Currently net short 462.1k, up 90.4k. Now what? The 10-year Treasury rate (2.96) crossed three percent this week – the first time this has happened since January … Continued