The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 29, 2016. Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The back and forth between the two camps within the FOMC continues. Last week, several members used public forums to express hawkish opinion … Continued
NYSE margin debt fell $11.9 billion month-over-month in February to $435.8 billion. This was the 10th month since the $507.2-billion peak last April. Margin debt has dropped 14 percent since that peak (Chart 1). For some historical perspective, in 2000 … Continued
Dividends are an important source of income for U.S. households. In 4Q15, they came in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of $877.1 billion. On a four-quarter rolling average basis, personal dividend income was $868.2 billion in that quarter – … Continued
Is the S&P 500 index (2035.94) resting or struggling at resistance? Either way, the rather lethargic action the past few sessions is not completely out of the ordinary given the move it has had off February 11th lows. From low … Continued
The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 22, 2016. Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: This could not get any funnier. A week after the FOMC statement, and later Janet Yellen, Fed chair, shifted message from hawkish to … Continued
Last Friday, spot West Texas Intermediate crude ($41.62) produced what looked like a shooting star near its 200-day moving average ($42.77). Right above lied another layer of resistance at $43.50 going back to January 2015 (Chart 1). A shooting star … Continued
The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 15, 2016. Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: Major central banks are in a race as to who can ‘shock and awe’ the markets the most. On January 29th, Haruhiko Kuroda, … Continued
“When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?” The above remark is often attributed to John Maynard Keynes, the British economist, although some dispute it. Regardless who said it, it is a nice quote. More … Continued
The following are futures positions of non-commercials as of March 8, 2016. Change is week-over-week. 10-year note: The FOMC meets next week, and it is a given. They will stand pat on interest rate, but the dot plot likely sees … Continued
In the latest reporting period, SPY, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF, shorts stayed put. In fact, at 280.4 million, short interest fell a tad period-over-period – now at a two-month low (Chart 1). Odds favor shorts are about to get … Continued